PLAYSCOPE
Competitive strength ·
Suggested
Live data· scores, clocks and fixtures from free public providers
▲ Theoretical model

The play-by-play replay and its TPI reaction below is theoretical analysis built on a deterministic simulated schedule — not real results. Real scores, clocks and fixtures appear only where the Live data badge is shown.

Live

BOS vs NYK

Q1 · 0:42
108.4provisional TPIWin prob 61%
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Solid: provisional TPI · dashed: live win probability

Play feed

  • InjuryBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 0:42 · 108.4
  • TimeoutBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 1:44 · 108.5
  • InjuryBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 2:22 · 108.9
  • InjuryBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 3:25 · 108.7
  • FoulBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 4:03 · 108.6
  • DunkBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 5:40 · 108.6
  • FoulBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 6:46 · 108.8
  • InjuryBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 7:34 · 109.2
  • TimeoutBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 8:40 · 109.3
  • TOBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 9:38 · 109.1
  • FoulBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 10:04 · 109.1
  • FoulBOS possession vs NYK — model updated provisional strength.Q1 11:30 · 109.2

Persistence vs noise

Persistent strength (TPI)109.5

Win probability has moved sharply, but only part of a live game changes our estimate of underlying team strength. Each live development is classified before it is allowed to move fundamentals.

  • InjuryPotentially persistent
    Availability changes usually alter the fundamentals estimate beyond this game.
  • TimeoutPotentially persistent
    Availability changes usually alter the fundamentals estimate beyond this game.
  • InjuryPotentially persistent
    Availability changes usually alter the fundamentals estimate beyond this game.
  • InjuryPotentially persistent
    Availability changes usually alter the fundamentals estimate beyond this game.

Live reflexivity

Opponent adjustment detected
Observed: NYK switched coverage on 7 of the last 9 ball screens, and BOS expected efficiency fell 3.1 points over the same span. Moderate confidence — correlation only.
Strategic pressure
HIGH — a loss materially reduces playoff probability while a win carries unusually high seeding value.

Live CSP deltas

  • Offense+2.4
  • Defense-1.1
  • Momentum+4.2
  • Availability-0.6
  • Stability-2